EXPLAINER
Uncertainty remains over key positions after student-led movement deals blow to longtime leader’s political dominance.
A student-led opposition movement has emerged victorious in Serbia’s snap parliamentary election, ending former President Aleksandar Vucic’s long grip on power.
The Student List’s win on Sunday followed nearly two years of youth-led protests triggered by the death of ۱۶ people in a railway station canopy collapse in the city of Novi Sad in ۲۰۲۴.
Demonstrations demanding accountability quickly evolved into a wider political campaign against alleged corruption and capture of democratic institutions. In its electoral programme presented in September, the Student List said fighting corruption and organised crime were among its main priorities. It also pledged to raise living standards, boost employment, improve education, ensure media freedom and the independence of Serbia’s institutions.
After declaring victory on Sunday, the movement also said it would work to improve relations with neighbouring countries following a period of tension during Vucic’s more than decade-long rule.
Here’s what you should know:
What are the latest results?
The Republic Election Commission (RIK) announced on Monday that the Student List had won ۵۲.۵۴ percent of the vote, based on ۸,۰۷۷ processed polling stations out of ۸,۳۹۲.
The figures also showed the United Serbia list, led by Vucic’s Serbian Progressive Party, had secured ۳۹.۲۹ percent of ballots cast.
Voter turnout stood at ۶۸.۷۸ percent, a record high in more than ۳۰ years, according to RIK data on Sunday.
What’s next?
While the final election result is not yet known, the figures mean that the Student List will be able to form a majority in Serbia’s ۲۵۰-seat parliament on its own.
The bloc is projected to win ۱۴۰ seats, well ahead of the ۱۲۶ mandates required for a majority, while United Serbia is expected to have ۱۰۳.
The remaining seats are set to go to the Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians (three); the Albanian political bloc (two); and the Rasim Ljajc-Ljudski and SDA Sandzak lists, with one each.
Who could be the new prime minister?
Unlike United Serbia, which named Vucic as its candidate for prime minister before the election, the Student List made no such announcement during the campaign.
Since its formal creation, the list has avoided highlighting single candidates, eager to emphasise the collective nature of the movement that brought together academics, doctors and workers.
During the campaign, the movement was led by Ilija Srdanovic, a professor at the Faculty of Medicine at the University of Novi Sad. The cardiologist is now seen as the most likely candidate to become the next prime minister, but it remains unclear who will take over key ministries, including those of internal affairs, finance and justice.
When will the new government be formed?
This depends on when the final election results will be announced and when parliament convenes.
The new National Assembly must be established within ۳۰ days of the final results being announced.
A government must be formed within ۹۰ days after that – but the Student List’s clear majority removes the need for lengthy coalition talks.
What about the president?
Vucic has dominated Serbia’s politics – first as prime minister and then as president – since ۲۰۱۴.
Following his call for the snap parliamentary vote last month and his resignation as president, the post has been held temporarily by Ana Brnabic, the president of the National Assembly.
Brnabic is obliged to call for an extraordinary presidential election which must be held no later than three months after the end of Vucic’s mandate.
Vucic resigned on September ۲۷ , so the deadline to hold a vote is December ۲۷ .
The president of Serbia is elected directly by the citizens, not by the representatives in the assembly, but the post is largely ceremonial.
