Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is up ۲ points, but that’s still within the poll’s margin of error.
Published On ۲۵ Sep ۲۰۲۶
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has maintained a two-percentage-point lead over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, his main challenger, in a potential run-off ahead of October’s presidential election, a Datafolha poll has shown.
In poll results released Thursday, Lula would receive ۴۷ percent of the vote compared with ۴۵ percent for Bolsonaro in a simulated run-off. A previous Datafolha poll last week had Lula leading Bolsonaro by ۴۶ percent to ۴۴ percent.
The result also represents a technical tie as it falls within the poll’s margin of error of ۲ percentage points.
In a first-round scenario, Lula leads with ۴۰ percent of the vote, followed by Bolsonaro (۳۶ percent), Augusto Cury (۵ percent), Ronaldo Caiado (۴ percent) and Renan Santos (۳ percent).
The previous poll showed the leftist president with ۳۹ percent against the right-wing senator’s ۳۶ percent.
Senator Bolsonaro is the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, who is serving a ۲۷-year prison sentence for attempting to overturn his ۲۰۲۲ election defeat to Lula.
Lula is seeking a fourth nonconsecutive term as Brazil’s president.
If no candidate wins more than ۵۰ percent of valid votes in the first round, the two frontrunners advance to a run-off.
Datafolha surveyed ۲,۰۰۲ people between September ۲۲ and ۲۳.
Earlier this week, two other polls showed similar results.
A Quaest poll released on Monday showed Bolsonaro with ۴۲ percent of voter support in a potential run-off, versus ۴۱ percent for Lula.
Meanwhile, a BTG Pactual/Nexus poll has Lula receiving ۴۶ percent of voter support, compared with ۴۵ percent for Bolsonaro in a potential run-off.
